The stock market is near an all-time high, while unemployment is up and wages are flat. It begs the question: is the stock market overvalued? I’m not a stock market expert, I don’t follow the market like some people, but I do know a few things. A share of stock is a piece of a company. In that regard, it is not that different than owning real estate. When you buy an investment property, you don’t look at the value of that property every day, you are more interested in the rent it earns and the costs associated with maintaining the property. The same should be the case with stocks. You shouldn’t look at the price fluctuations of the stock for a company, rather you should look at the earnings and earning potential of the company itself. If you are a day trader who is looking for short-term opportunities, we may be looking at a correction pretty soon. Economic growth has been anemic, even prior to the pandemic, and without major changes to our immigration policies or major breakthroughs in productivity it will be hard to see how valuations will get better in the short run. If you’re a long-term player a good index fund or the right financial advisor, you can still find you some great opportunities. BTW – the winner of the election won’t matter all that much. In his first 43 months in office, the S&P 500 index under Donald Trump increased 49%. That’s a pretty good gain; however, under Obama, the S&P increased by 70% in his first 43 months. Fiscal policy matters for a lot of things, but stock prices don’t seem to have as much of a correlation to politics as most people think.
I have been writing this blog for almost eight years. In two weeks, the format will change. I will start a video series on social media titled "The Latino Brand." I will supplement the videos with a weekly news sheet emailed to my database that includes links to the video series...
The country is experiencing significant disruption, unlike anything we've seen since the end of World War II. A perfect storm of demographic changes, AI advancements, and political upheaval will reshape the nation forever. Some changes will be beneficial, while others will be less clear. Here's my perspective on what to expect in the next decade
The large majority of undocumented immigrants are decent, hard-working people desperate for a better life in America. However, there are also some bad apples, violent criminals that not only terrorize our communities but also damage the image of Latinos in America. Trump promised to prioritize criminals in his deportation plans. In the first few weeks in office, the data shows that...